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If the four-day sweat of golf wasn’t enough for you, tennis’s two-week long tournaments should sap you like a sauna. Most notably Wimbledon, which gets the full ESPN treatment for the whole tourney. I’ve always been on the fence when it comes to tennis. I’ll watch Wimbledon every day it’s on, but literally zero times the rest of the year. I’m a decent player, at least when it comes to people with no legitimate training, but don’t have many people to play with. My lifetime sports gym class championship title is going to waste. Will 2019 be the summer of tennis? Eh, history suggests it won’t be, but here’s to hoping. Soccer (fútbol)! It’s not my cup of tea, but it’s the cup of tea for large sections of the world. The Women’s World Cup is currently off and running and I’m pretty sure there’ll be plenty more of “the beautiful game” once it’s over.
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Then you just count what percentage of those games the home team ended up winning, and there’s your line. You wouldn’t want people to have to run these calculations during the game, so this process is automated — either by using fast database queries or by precomputing the answers. What I just described is a simpliﬁed version of how one could make an in-play line. I don’t know how accurately this process describes what happens at the various vendors, and this sort of analysis is only one piece of the puzzle when I make a line. But the basic idea is there. You take information about the strength of the teams (pregame closing lines), information about the game state (the score, the inning and/or how much time is remaining, and any other relevant information like who has the ball, position on the ﬁeld, and so on), and combine them intelligently to come up with a line. Potential problems with live betting odds There are two major problems with this, and you may already have thought of them both. The ﬁrst problem is that there is an enormous amount of information available once the game starts that wasn’t reﬂected in the pregame lines. Maybe a player or two got injured during the game.
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